Decision-Theory

The Gate That Said No

Whether to adopt a tool you built is itself a decision under uncertainty, so it deserves a decision rule, not a leaderboard. I built a pre-committed, …

essaysbayesianaidecision-theory

Make Your OpenClaw Cheaper and Harder to Fool

credence-pi is an OpenClaw plugin plus a local daemon that learns your agent's behaviour and governs its tool calls by expected utility: it blocks the calls …

essaysbayesianaidecision-theory

What a Regex Can't Do

The governor from 'The Brain is Opaque to the Body' now ships as an OpenClaw plugin: wasted tool calls blocked at precision and recall 1.0 on real sessions, …

essaysbayesianaidecision-theory

The Brain is Opaque to the Body

A first-pass body-brain architecture for governing a coding agent's tool_call hook with a Bayesian decision-theoretic brain. The wire schema is fixed by what …

essaysbayesianaidecision-theory